Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Oregon Defense Topped Pac12 in 2011


    Oregon is known for their explosive offense.  In 2011, Oregon scored 46.1 points per game.  That’s almost 2 points for every minute they had the ball.  Oregon scores so quickly that the defense ends up on the field more than the offense.  Oregon ranks last in the FBS for Time of Possession at 25 minutes per game.  The defense sees ten more minutes of playing time than the offense.  How are we to judge a defense that sees more playing time than any other team in the nation?  To answer that question, you have to look at how many yards per minute Oregon’s defense give up.

   
    The Pac12 is offense heavy full of NFL-caliber quarterbacks, running backs and receivers.  The most talented recruits usually find a role on the offense.  In the SEC, the best talent will end up on defense.  It is no surprise that a conference like the SEC would lead the nation in defensive stats, especially yards given up per minute.  Alabama lead the nation with 6.75 yards given up per minute.  The SEC owned 7 teams in the top 10 in this category.  The Pac12 didn’t appear until the number 21 spot, and it belonged to the Oregon Ducks.

    That’s right; the Oregon Ducks lead the Pac12 in defense when you look at yards given up per minute.  Oregon gave up more yards and points per game since they were on the field longer than any other team, but as a unit, they outperformed everybody else in the Pac12 allowing 11.15 yards per minute.  The second best defense was Utah at 11.48 yards per minute, but Utah didn’t have the luxury of playing the top two offenses in the conference, Oregon and Stanford, in 2011. 

    Most people wouldn’t have thought of Oregon first when thinking of the best Pac12 defenses.  When you put it in perspective of time spent on the field, they are the best in the conference.  Sport analysts claim that Oregon will have an even better defense in 2012.  Can Oregon again have both the best offense and defense in the conference in 2012?  It all begins now.

 
Rank Team def yards/min
1 Oregon  11.15
2 Utah  11.48
3 California  11.87
4 Stanford  13.03
5 Oregon State  13.40
6 USC  13.49
7 Washington State  13.65
8 UCLA  13.72
9 Arizona State  14.11
10 Washington  15.04
11 Arizona  15.19
12 Colorado  15.19

Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Ark State Red Wolves Sept 1, 2012

Actual Score: 57-34
Congrats got_da_captain


Guess by:  Oregon Ark St off by
1  got_da_captain 52 35 6
2  glennhanna 63 30 10
3  6BCSTitles 52 28 11
4  To Derr 63 24 16
4  kyle123kfs 55 20 16
6  Rob___1 64 24 17
6  Chippewa Kelly 60 20 17
6  Liquiddrano13 53 21 17
9  DucksRUNpac12 62 21 18
9  Version five point zero 56 17 18
9  AngryDuck22 56 17 18
9  KansasLSUBOY225 52 21 18
9  DISandDAT6 49 24 18
9  Derek2844 49 24 18
15  Razorcrack 48 24 19
15  jazzarkansas21 42 30 19
17  DucksflyinPAC 58 14 21
17  CBSsports-John Breech 56 14 21
17  bphilli3RoseBowlChamps 56 14 21
17  Supreme-Duck 2 49 21 21
21  Ash-Gallo 56 13 22
21  die yankees die 55 14 22
21  grovetwin 55 14 22
21  What Just Happened 9330 52 17 22
25  Big Orange Pride 59 13 23
25  fishduck.com-Josh White 52 16 23
25  RAZOR Tek 69 45 23
28  daveroe22 63 16 24
29  OregonDucks1973 58 10 25
29  iluvScoregon 56 10 25
29  NuttyBuckeyes 56 10 25
29  jeremywhorne 45 21 25
29  Sanctions What Sanctions-FO 45 21 25
34  gilletter 52 13 26
34  bigbobrolltide 45 48 26
36  Timber Joey III 60 10 27
36  Krsmqn 63 13 27
36  Austin016 63 13 27
36  Oregonlive - Aaron Fentress 47 17 27
36  memphis boys08 34 38 27
41  HooptyNug 72 21 28
41  766RhandaJim 56 7 28
41  58rhodes 56 7 28
41  jarheadDUCK 42 21 28
41  Sunbelt Fan 35 28 28
46  Steven5856 62 10 29
46  kickassxl 66 14 29
46  nategolf 42 20 29
46  jace 98 the 2nd 33 39 29
50  eaglesflyers93 49 10 32
50  pacers121 49 10 32
50  Ducks231231 42 17 32
50  ivanolinghouse 42 17 32
54  oregonducksrulethepac 70 13 34
54  Griffin4284 27 30 34
56  arkansasholmes 35 21 35
57  yellowflag.net 66 7 36
57  OGMetroid 42 13 36
57  AnatolyOgorodnikov 35 48 36
60  GoUODucks86 38 14 39
60  bobbyboucher17 21 31 39
62  clmso72 47 0 44
63  HandyDuck31460 77 7 47
64  ghostofjoeroth 91 3 65
65  LSU2388 3 21 67
66  ArkansasA30 17 65 71










(17)  Average Score: 51.4 19.8 19.7
(21)  Median Score: 52.5 17.0 21.5

Sunday, August 19, 2012

2012 Adjusted Preseason AP Poll

    Yesterday, the AP came out with their preseason poll. They chose USC as their number one pick. Preseason polls haven't done a very good job at predicting the future. There are numerous factors that change up in the course of the season. Nobody knows every detail of every team in college football at this point. The poll becomes a beauty contest. There are some teams that are consistently over-ranked and other teams that are consistently under-ranked.

    I happened to find this gem of a site to find that Oregon leads college teams as the most under-ranked team since 1989 after reading this Oregon Live article. Notre Dame is the most over-rated team since 1989. What if we took the data from that website and factor them into this year's AP poll?

    The data from the stassen website gives a positive or negative number which represents how close the AP is at guessing a team's rank over the past 23 years. I can't just divide that number by 23, because not every team has been ranked each year. So I've averaged out the numbers individually according to how many years each team has had a rank value. I factored in the first 30 teams in the AP Poll and will now share with you the top 20. I wonder which list will be more accurate at the end of the season.


Adjusted AP Team AP Poll
1 Oregon 5
2 Alabama 2
3 South Carolina 9
4 USC 1
5 LSU 3
6 Georgia 6
7 Arkansas 10
8 Oklahoma 4
9 Wisconsin 12
10 Florida State 7
11 Michigan 8
12 West Virginia 11
13 TCU 20
14 Virginia Tech 16
15 Boise State 24
16 Oklahoma State 19
17 Utah 30
18 Clemson 14
19 Stanford 21
20 Kansas State 22

Saturday, August 18, 2012

2012 Preseason Fan Poll

Rank the teams.  The poll provider only allows 20 items, so if a team is not on the list, tough luck. Click Here for just the results.