Saturday, August 31, 2013

Oregon at Virginia - September 7, 2013

Actual Score: 59-10 
Congrats petes.ballers and ONE.2.NV!






Rank Guess Oregon Virginia off by
1 petes.ballers 56 10 3
1 ONE.2.NV 59 13 3
3 REALDUCKY 55 10 4
4 Duckswtd 63 12 6
5 QYS 55 7 7
5 TrackTownUSA 59 17 7
5 VersionXO 55 13 7
5 DucksRUNpac12 55 13 7
9 levajack 50 13 12
9 Mallard_Drake126 51 14 12
11 Liquiddrano13 46 10 13
11 Jordan Kent 49 13 13
13 wallowacountyduck 52 17 14
13 Lukedogg45 49 14 14
13 Dale Newton 52 17 14
16 TheDude976 63 21 15
16 pacers121 55 21 15
16 97VWlover 47 13 15
19 iluvScoregon 45 13 17
19 d_king1 45 13 17
19 DaisyDuck 56 24 17
19 simmerdown 49 17 17
19 MarkH4President 49 17 17
19 4wahoos98 49 17 17
19 scotyew 49 17 17
26 MarcusGiese 63 24 18
26 peteincoosbay 45 14 18
26 TimberJoey 45 14 18
26 UVApride7 55 24 18
26 pinballDUCK 48 17 18
31 skibrib 47 17 19
32 Bwenamai 49 20 20
32 Aaron Fentress 52 23 20
32 glennhanna 49 20 20
35 Kevin Gemmell 42 14 21
35 QuackFiend 52 24 21
35 58rhodes 49 21 21
35 rob____1 44 16 21
39 Mr.MAL u MAN 44 17 22
40 Romapamadora 43 17 23
41 AZGael 42 18 25
41 6bcs_Titles 45 21 25
43 Ted Miller 38 17 28
44 HPTWAHOO 34 38 53
45 uvafred7 54 67 62
46 UVA Fan JP 27 42 64
47 GoDuxks 13 59 95
Average 48.8 19.4 19.57

Sunday, August 18, 2013

Stassen-Adjusted AP Poll Has Stanford and Oregon On Top in 2013

    Last season we tried an experiment using data from Stassen.com that adjusted the preseason AP poll with the average position each team has been over or under rated for the past 20 years.  The result ended up being a list that was just as inaccurate as the actual preseason AP poll (although it did pick Oregon and Alabama to finish #1 and #2, just backwards).  Perceptions drift over the years and 20 years might have been going too far.  So this year we are going to adjust the experiment and only consider the trend for the previous four years (2009 - 2012).

    The formula is simple.  Using the data provided by Stassen, we arrive at a positive or negative number for each team.  A negative trend number represents the average positions a team has been underrated the previous four seasons.  A positive trend number indicates the average number of spots a team has been over-ranked.  Simply add the 2013 AP poll positions with the Trend and you get the following Stassen-Adjusted AP Poll:

  
Rank
Team (AP) Trend AP + Trend
1
Stanford (4) -8.75 -4.75
2
Oregon (3) -3.25 -0.25
3
Alabama (1) 0.5 1.5
4
Ohio State (2) 1.25 3.25
5
South Carolina (6) -1.75 4.25
6
Clemson (8) -3.5 4.5
7
Louisville (9) -3.25 5.75
8
Georgia (5) 4.25 9.25
9
Texas A&M (7) 2.83 9.83
10
LSU (12) 1.13 13.13
11
Florida (10) 4 14
12
Oklahoma State (13) 1.88 14.88
12
Notre Dame (14) 0.88 14.88
14
TCU (20) -3.5 16.5
15
Boise State (19) -2.25 16.75
16
Michigan (17) 0.5 17.5
17
Florida State (11) 7 18
18
Northwestern (22) -2.25 19.75
19
UCLA (21) 0 21
20
Texas (15) 7.5 22.5
20
Nebraska (18) 4.5 22.5
20
Wisconsin (23) -0.5 22.5
23
Michigan State (26) -2.75 23.25
24
Baylor (27) -3.25 23.75
25
Oregon State (25) -0.75 24.25

Monday, August 12, 2013

Nicholls State - August 31, 2013

Actual Score: 66 - 3
Congrats  StiffArm

Rank Guess Oregon NSU off by
1 StiffArm 67 3 1
2 TrackTownUSA 63 3 3
2 rippedcord00 63 3 3
4 Troy_trojans 70 3 4
4 backforthe18thtime 70 3 4
6 Dale Newton 67 7 5
7 OrygunHBC 72 3 6
7 levajack 72 3 6
7 glennhanna 69 6 6
7 9104ducks 60 3 6
11 Wild Duck Fanatic 70 0 7
11 scotyew 73 3 7
11 Jordan Kent 66 10 7
11 Keyser_Soze 59 3 7
11 FlimFlamDuck 63 7 7
16 Rob___1 72 0 9
16 d_king1 72 0 9
16 DucksRUNPac12 68 10 9
16 PinballDUCK 72 0 9
20 GoPackersAR12 76 3 10
20 simmerdown 72 7 10
20 MarkH4President 63 10 10
23 58rhodes 55 3 11
23 ClosetCardsFan151 62 10 11
25 6BCSTitles 78 3 12
25 wallowacountyduck 71 10 12
27 Timber Joey 72 10 13
27 Krsmqn 56 0 13
27 Quacked-yo-skull 56 6 13
27 ghostfacekilah00 64 14 13
27 OGMetroid 73 9 13
32 NW-Prophet82 77 0 14
32 Sanctions 77 6 14
32 rojer43 77 6 14
32 pacers121 56 7 14
32 Romapamadora 80 3 14
37 GoStanford202 77 7 15
37 TheDude976 67 17 15
37 ONE2NV 61 13 15
40 VersionXO 75 10 16
41 Skibrib 56 10 17
41 thehomerhater 56 10 17
41 Aaron Fentress 73 13 17
44 tjasv 55 10 18
44 FergtheMighty 84 3 18
44 Mallard_Drake126 81 6 18
44 Bwenamai 55 10 18
48 Kevin Gemmell 48 7 22
49 JtruzmaH 52 14 25
50 peteincoosbay 45 14 32
51 rockytoptalkers 51 21 33
52 alaskangeeky 42 13 34
53 Ted Miller 101 3 35
54 seattleland 104 13 48






Average 67.33 6.87 5.20

Median 68 6 5

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

THIS IS WHAT $68 MILLION LOOKS LIKE

     You have probably seen images of Oregon's new HD Complex by now.  That is what $68 million can be turned into.  Is there another way to visualize just how much money went into this building?  How much would it take the average Joe to make that kind of money?  Let's say Joe has a good year and made $50,000 for the year after taxes.  Let us say Joe has a wife, Jenny, and she also made $50,000 after taxes.  This gives them a nice round $100,000 for the year.  Is this a lot of money?  What could you spend $100,000 on?  It would take Joe and Jenny 680 years to save enough money to purchase the HD complex if inflation and interest earnings were frozen and income remained constant.  Here is another way to visualize it:

$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 + $100,000 +
$100,000